Introduction
After months of uncertainty, the housing market appears to be gaining its footing again. Mortgage rates have slumped to roughly 6.125%, the lowest since late 2022 and nearly a full percentage point below the peak earlier this year. That drop alone is prompting many buyers to re-enter the market.
Why Buyers Are Coming Back
- Mortgage affordability improved – Lower rates mean lower monthly payments, making home-ownership more accessible for many.
- Purchase applications rising – According to recent data, purchase applications are up more than 30% year-over-year, marking the strongest start to November since 2022. Buyers seem to be adjusting to this “new normal” and stepping back in.
- More people qualifying under conforming limits – With the 2026 conforming loan limit increased to $832,750 in most areas and $1,249,125 in high-cost markets, more buyers can now qualify under standard (non-jumbo) loan guidelines — easing financing concerns for many.
What Experts Expect: 2026 Outlook
Industry forecasters are optimistic. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) projects:
- A 14% increase in home sales.
- 4% price growth — supported by steady employment gains and improved affordability.
Together, these trends suggest a market leaning toward recovery — particularly for well-priced homes.
What’s Happening at the High End
While luxury and high-end markets had overheated during the pandemic and some have softened, demand remains for homes priced right. In many markets, well-priced properties are still selling — often even faster than last year.
What This Means for Buyers, Sellers & Investors
For Buyers:
- Lower mortgage rates + higher conforming loan limits = an opportunity. This could be a good time to buy, especially if you’re looking for mid-market properties.
- More competition may develop soon, as demand rises again — so act sooner rather than later if you find a property you like.
For Sellers:
- If your home is priced well (i.e. aligned with current market expectations), demand is increasing — you might attract serious buyers sooner.
- For luxury sellers: be prepared for selective demand — price smartly, and highlight value.
For Investors:
- With rising sales and solid price growth expected into 2026, now could be a strategic time to enter the market or expand holdings.
- Consider focusing on entry- to mid-level homes (where financing is easier) for steadier demand, rather than overpaying for speculative luxury properties.
Conclusion
The real estate market seems to be stabilizing. Mortgage rates have dropped, demand is rising, and buyers who paused earlier in 2025 are returning. With strong forecasts from NAR and more buyers qualifying under conforming loan limits, confidence is gradually returning. For those on the fence — now may be the right time to take action.
Originally published on the Show Me How Podcast blog. General education, not individualized advice.